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Spotlight-blackOTC Derivatives Reform (more stories)

09 May 2011

Joining the VIPs, With a Hitch

Khetan calls the CBOE's new SEF-tradable CDS 'brilliantly simple' yet it has a drawback wide enough to drive a truck through.

For quite a while, the exchanges have been clamoring to get into the fairly exclusive club the dealers (the bulge-bracket globally active banks) have in the credit default swaps market. Dodd-Frank, in Title VII mandates the use of swap execution facilities (SEFs) and has given the exchanges the opening they sought.

So what is arguably the first SEF-tradable CDS product by an exchange – the Chicago Board Options Exchange has a contract definition that is brilliantly simple and yet the exchange has managed to shoot itself in the foot.

Very recently the CBOE launched a credit event binary option (CEBO). The CBOE launched the anagrammatic CEBO. The contract has a few brilliant simplifications:

a) Obviate the mystery with the recovery rate and the auction process. The CEBO sets a zero recovery rate. If one is taking a pure speculative view on the credit, then one can do just that without having to implicitly take a position on the recovery rate. If you want to bet on the recovery rate, there is a market just for that – recovery swaps. So just like CDS, componentized the credit risk from within a bond, the recovery swap does the same thing for a CDS. 
b) The quotation method is blindingly simple. Just a percent upfront that represents the likelihood of default before the maturity date. Currently CDS can be traded in upfronts as well, though that is reserved for the most risky names. Other than upfronts, the CDS contract can be traded with a running spread with a coupon (which can vary too) or without a coupon (for the highest quality names). This Tower of Babel is replaced by the Esperanto of upfront. What one-time, percentage premium do you wish to pay/receive for protection? Like a lump sum insurance contract. Very simple to understand and compare and contrast.
c) No ISDAs. And no margins for people buying protection. Reducing legal and other operational overheads for the traders.
d) One lump sum premium payment as opposed to accrued interest and quarterly payments on IMM dates and all that jazz for the CDS product. After all, there is nothing swap-like about a CDS. The only reason it was disguised as a swap was to not be under the jurisdiction of the state insurance commissioners. Inspector Jacques Clouseau’s disguises are more convincing!

On the other hand, it appears the CBOE has shot itself in the foot by keeping the minimum price variation as chunky as a percent. So the tightest one can quote is a percent (no sub-percent allowed) – so the best quote of one percent to two percent will still translate (for a one-year CDS) into a spread of 88-177 basis points!

Wait, let me back my Mack Truck into that spread.

This 89-bp spread compares with the OTC market, where things are frequently quoted in one basis point increments. The CBOE had an opportunity to let the smaller buy-side firms participate, even retail customers, in expressing a view on default probabilities (do you have a strong enough view on Greece) and yet the exchange make the price variation so wide that the bid-offer is greater than the entire price movement a trader would hope to capture.

Leaves one scratching one's head…why?!

Spotlight-white-trans For more stories in the OTC Derivatives Reform Spotlight Series click here.

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5 Comments to "Joining the VIPs, With a Hitch":
  • Comment_dick__dennis
    tripledtrader

    09 May 2011

    Interesting point on the spread. I agree, an MPV of a percent makes the option unattractive to short-term speculators, but it does make it attractive to market makers. Maybe this is an attempt to get a market started in these products, and once you have some liquidity, you could then lower the MPV? Like you said, I'd back up the truck on that spread.

  • Comment_dick__dennis
    tripledtrader

    09 May 2011

    but of course if nobody is willing to pay the spread, then market making is useless. You make a good point.

  • Missing
    Bill Hodgson

    10 May 2011

    How much work did CBOE do with market makers to establish the viability of the product before launch? Odd decision on the variation increment. Bill

  • Missing
    kkhetan

    10 May 2011

    True tripled, Bill. Separately, CBOE confirmed the min price increment. Some otherwise great ideas but ...

  • Missing
    mjdhond

    16 May 2011

    Interesting read, even for relative lay person. Any idea about the kind of volume CEBOs are attracting?

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