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Tom Riesack

Capco

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Tom Riesack

Spotlight-blackOTC Derivatives Reform (more stories)

25 October 2012

OTC Clearing Part 7: If They Build It, Will They Come?

Nearly 30 firms intend to become SEFs, but only a few will be serious contenders in the OTC derivatives market. Coupled with ongoing regulatory uncertainty, this leaves market participants struggling to plan their next move.

One of the mandates of the 2009 G20 summit was to ensure the electronic trading and central clearing of standardized OTC derivatives. OTC, or “over-the-counter,” is seen as the antonym to exchange-traded, or “listed,” assets in most literature. Now global regulators seem intent on removing OTC from the trading landscape.

Shifting bilateral OTC activity onto electronic platforms -- organized trading facilities (OTFs) in Europe and swap execution facilities (SEFs) in the U.S. -- is the way regulators plan to achieve this paradigm shift. It is expected that a final rule on SEFs will be published soon by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to see electronic trading of standardized derivatives become a reality in the first half of 2013. Interestingly, though, the corresponding regulation in Europe is not part of EMIR; rather, it is part of the overhaul of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II), which is not due to enter into force before 2015.

Despite regulators’ demand for new trading venues, there are also skeptical voices in the market, which discuss the death of SEFs before they have even started. In a recent TABB Group research report, TABB’s Adam Sussman points out that a staggering 29 firms have announced their intentions to become SEFs. But he sees designated contract markets (DCMs) as better positioned, as they can trade swaps next to a host of other instruments, whereas SEFs can only trade swaps.

[Adam Sussman discusses his recent research report, “Death of a SEF: The Coroner’s Report,”  in this exclusive video.]

Where does this leave the market participants that need to adhere to upcoming regulations?

Only a small number of trading venues will actually become serious contenders in the market. These venues will largely comprise current incumbents, such as ICE, Tradeweb and Bloomberg, with only a very small number of new entrants uniting sufficient liquidity on their respective platforms. Liquidity is key in a market that is large in terms of outstanding notional value but where the actual number of trades is rather low compared to the equity markets.

The firms that are actually required to trade on such SEFs or OTFs face the daunting task of deciding on a platform. That the respective regulation in Europe lags at least 18 months behind makes it especially difficult for global market players. Smaller firms, such as hedge funds, will neither have the time nor the resources to connect to each relevant SEF.

At this juncture, prime brokers see a chance to change their business model of offering a single-dealer platform to becoming an aggregator of SEFs. In addition, the experience of the equities market in recent years has shown that the proliferation of trading venues can lead to reduced trade sizes and the rise of arbitraging high-frequency trading (HFT) as well as the creation of dark pools.

The current regulatory uncertainty leaves market participants struggling to plan their next move. Nonetheless, chance favors the prepared mind, so follow the regulatory processes closely to understand which possible trading venues are best suited for your business model.

Spotlight-white-trans For more stories in the OTC Derivatives Reform Spotlight Series click here.

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4 Comments to "OTC Clearing Part 7: If They Build It, Will They Come? ":
  • Missing
    loren

    25 October 2012

    Good summary of the situation. With so much uncertainty in the market, I'm wondering who out there is thinking about the eventual consolidation or aggregation that you mentioned and who you might think is currently best suited to be in a position to play that role.

  • Comment_capco_tomriesack_managing-principal_300
    triesack

    29 October 2012

    Hey loren, well, if I only had my crystal ball handy... :) I would believe that some incumbent market players will dominate that area, such as Bloomberg or Tradeweb. Interestingly enough, the CFTC seems to be inclined to allow voice trading even for such swaps that would need to be cleared (http://www.nasdaq.com/article/cftc-draft-seen-keeping-phone-trading-for-swaps-20121024-01653#.UImHLoYsE1L). So, it remains interesting to see how this really pans out.

  • Comment_marti_tirinnanzi_11-2011_resize_
    mtirinnanzi

    02 November 2012

    Hi Tom!   Agree with Loren, good summary of the situation. 

    While the goverment is allowing voice trading, who on earth would want voice trading? Tell the Street your trade and you're guaranteed poor execution.  Why would anyone buy swaps this way? 

    The central limit order book style (showing OTC bids/asks) offered by TERAEXCHANGE with a pre-trade credit check provides real time market prices and assures clearinghouse acceptance.  Marti

  • Comment_capco_tomriesack_managing-principal_300
    triesack

    04 November 2012

    Hey Marti, yes and no. There will still be need for rather non-disclosed trading. BUT, agreed, for most purposes it will be sensible for most participants to go through an open, lit market mechanism, be that a SEF, OTF, DCM or whatever...  Best, Tom

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